I recently sent out a list of questions about the 2024 elections to political operatives, pollsters and political scientists. How damaging would a government shutdown be to Donald Trump and the Republican Party? Will the cultural left wing of the Democratic Party undermine the party’s prospects? How significant will Black and Hispanic shifts to the Republican Party be and where will these shifts have the potential to determine the outcome? Robert M. Stein, a political scientist at Rice, responded to my question about MAGA turnout by email: “Turnout among MAGA supporters may be less important than how many MAGA voters there are in the 2024 election and in which states they are.”

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Persons: Donald Trump, Will, MAGA, Biden, Will Kamala Harris’s, hasn’t Biden, Democratic Party “, ”, Robert M, Stein, Rice Organizations: Republican Party, Democratic Party, Biden, MAGA Locations: Georgia, Pennsylvania, Arizona , Michigan, Wisconsin